Market Preview

European Open Preview – Dollar powers ahead on strong US data; euro stumbles

Posted on April 19, 2019 at 8:07 am GMT

US dollar and Wall Street lifted by solid economic data and earnings But euro, pound, aussie and kiwi turn lower on Eurozone woes, resurgent dollar Thin liquidity expected today as many markets closed for Good Friday US recession fears ebb after retail sales bounce Dollar bulls made a comeback on Thursday after retail sales in the US unexpectedly surged in March and weekly jobless claims fell to their lowest in nearly half a century. The data once again highlighted the [..]

European Open Preview – Wall Street pulls back; euro hit by German PMIs

Posted on April 18, 2019 at 8:00 am GMT

US markets retreat as healthcare stocks ‘feel the Bern’ Moves in FX generally subdued, but euro takes a hit after German PMIs Retail sales data coming up in UK, US, and Canada today Wall Street inches down as healthcare stocks weigh ‘Sanders risk’ US equity markets retreated modestly on Wednesday, with losses in the healthcare sector eclipsing encouraging earnings elsewhere. The benchmark S&P 500 fell by 0.23%, weighed down by pharmaceutical giants UnitedHealth (-1.87%), Pfizer (-2.49%), and Merck (-4.72%), among [..]

European Open Preview – Aussie jumps on China GDP boost but limited gains for stocks

Posted on April 17, 2019 at 8:14 am GMT

Fears of a global slowdown ease substantially after China posts stronger-than-expected GDP data for the first quarter The data lifts risk-assets with the Australian dollar being the main beneficiary But broader gains are limited amid caution about the outlook China GDP beats expectations, industrial output surges Markets cheered upbeat economic figures out of China on Wednesday, continuing the series of positive numbers out of the country over the past couple of weeks. China’s economy expanded by 6.4% year-on-year in the [..]

European Open Preview – Major pairs steady as China GDP awaited; aussie slips on rate cut bets

Posted on April 16, 2019 at 8:15 am GMT

Dollar steady as markets await economic releases for more clues on outlook amid signs of green shoots China GDP will be the week’s highlight and key in building on the current risk-on tone Market mood to also be determined by US earnings season as banks’ results underwhelm Aussie worst performing currency after RBA sets condition for rate cut Dollar off lows ahead of important data The positive risk sentiment from Friday continued to ease slightly on Tuesday as investors preferred [..]

European Open Preview – Dollar and yen pressured as China optimism lifts markets

Posted on April 15, 2019 at 8:22 am GMT

Safe-haven favourites, the dollar and the yen, trade near Friday’s lows as positive data out of China triggers a risk rally Encouraging comments from Mnuchin on US-China trade talks also helps risk sentiment Focus this week to centre on US earnings and China GDP ahead of long Easter weekend Jump in Chinese lending eases growth jitters Fears of a global slowdown, which were amplified early last week after the IMF lowered its global growth forecasts, subsided substantially on better-than-expected economic [..]

European Open Preview – Earnings season kicks off; dollar struggles to advance

Posted on April 12, 2019 at 6:38 am GMT

US earnings season commences with JPMorgan & Wells Fargo Dollar advances alongside US yields, but pares gains Yen retreats ahead of US-Japan trade talks, gold follows Earnings season kicks off with major US banks US equity markets closed practically flat yesterday, though the Nasdaq Composite (-0.22%) did post some losses, with traders appearing reluctant to take on new positions ahead of what promises to be a stormy earnings season. US banking behemoths JPMorgan Chase and Wells Fargo will report their [..]

European Open Preview – Draghi briefly sinks euro; Brexit delayed again

Posted on April 11, 2019 at 7:56 am GMT

ECB’s Draghi hints at more stimulus, but euro tumbles only modestly and recovers quickly Dollar pulls back after disappointing US CPI data, looks to Fed speakers today EU grants Brexit extension – Varadkar’s remarks indicate way forward Euro tumbles as Draghi hints at more stimulus, but only modestly As expected, the European Central Bank (ECB) kept both its policy and forward guidance unchanged yesterday. President Draghi maintained a cautious tone, highlighting that incoming data remain weak, especially in the manufacturing [..]

European Open Preview – ECB meeting, EU Brexit summit, and much more

Posted on April 10, 2019 at 7:42 am GMT

Today is packed with market-moving events, including an ECB meeting, an EU summit on Brexit, US inflation data, and Fed minutes ECB is likely to maintain a dovish tone amid growth, trade concerns EU set to offer UK long but ‘flexible’ Brexit extension Meanwhile, trade uncertainty returns to haunt stocks ECB meets – No action, but perhaps more cautious language The European Central Bank (ECB) will announce its policy decision at 11:45 GMT, but the real action will likely begin [..]

European Open Preview – US proposes tariffs on EU, but markets remain calm

Posted on April 9, 2019 at 7:53 am GMT

US officially proposes tariffs on EU, but market reaction minimal so far Euro advances, looks to ECB meeting tomorrow In Brexit, May will meet Merkel and Macron today ahead of EU summit Lighthizer recommends tariffs on EU – new chapter in trade war? The main story overnight was that the US Trade Representative, Robert Lighthizer, proposed introducing tariffs on a list of 11$bn worth of EU products in retaliation to EU aircraft subsidies. This is the clearest sign yet that [..]

European Open Preview – Fed rate-cut bets grow; oil climbs on Libya woes

Posted on April 8, 2019 at 7:58 am GMT

Dollar little changed after NFP, but Fed rate-cut odds rise In the UK, reports suggest PM May could accept a customs union compromise Oil touches five-month high as Libyan production is threatened Dollar snoozes after mixed jobs data, but rate-cut bets grow The US employment report for March was a mixed bag. Nonfarm payrolls clocked in at 196k, higher than the consensus for 180k, but wage growth disappointed, with average earnings slowing to 3.2% in annual terms, from a cycle-high [..]

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